Does it make sense to focus on scenarios where change is rapid and due to a single actor, or slower and dependent on getting agreements between several relevant actors?

There is enough uncertainty that we should not put all of our efforts into either branch of possibility

Links to takeoff speed stuff and multipolar scenarios vs singletons

We don’t really know

So it’s important to work on both

https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/LpM3EAakwYdS6aRKf/what-multipolar-failure-looks-like-and-robust-agent-agnostic

https://www.alignmentforum.org/tag/multipolar-scenarios