What is the strong scaling hypothesis?
In progress
A companion to the scaling laws is the scaling hypothesis. Here is a description from gwern:
| Scaling Hypothesis | The strong scaling hypothesis is that, once we find a scalable architecture like self-attention or convolutions, [...] we can simply train ever larger [neural networks] and ever more sophisticated behavior will emerge naturally as the easiest way to optimize for all the tasks & data. The scaling laws, if the above hypothesis holds, become highly relevant to safety insofar capability gains become conceptually easier to achieve: no need for clever designs to solve a given task, just throw more processing at it and it will eventually yield. |
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